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Breaking Down the Pacific Division: Best Offseason Moves, Potential Risks, and Breakout Players

Many argue that the Pacific Division is the NBA’s strongest. Last season, the Sacramento Kings, Phoenix Suns, LA Clippers, Golden State Warriors, and Los Angeles Lakers all made it to the Western Conference playoffs, showcasing the division’s power. Moreover, the Pacific Division houses some of the league’s most iconic superstars.

To evaluate the Pacific’s offseason and forecast the 2023-24 regular season, The Athletic has brought together three of its skilled writers: Jovan Buha, Law Murray, and Anthony Slater. Each writer covers a distinct team from the division.

Which team made the most impactful offseason move?

Jovan Buha: Without a doubt, the Suns’ acquisition of Bradley Beal stands out. People underestimate the potential dominance of a team built around three stars who excel at shooting. Think back to teams like the mid-2010s Cavs, the late 2010s Warriors, and the early 2020s Nets. The Suns now have elite scorers and shooters in Devin Booker, Kevin Durant, and Beal. Together, I believe they can score at least 120 points per 100 possessions. The Suns may lack a traditional point guard, but they have multiple outstanding shot-creators and spot-up threats to complement their trio. Beal, as the third option, will pose a significant challenge to opponents’ defenses. With new head coach Frank Vogel leading the defense, I anticipate the Suns’ offense will be unstoppable.

Law Murray: I don’t want to overthink this. The Suns traded for Beal, a three-time All-Star, and gave up a reasonable package to acquire him. Beal’s ability to draw fouls will be a massive advantage alongside Booker in the Suns’ backcourt. With Beal, Booker, and Durant, the Suns have the potential to be one of the best offensive teams in the league.

Anthony Slater: Undoubtedly, the best move was the Suns’ trade for Beal. They made a significant change to their core, acquiring an All-Star without paying an exorbitant price. While other teams in the division made notable moves, such as the Lakers retaining their core and adding shooters or the Warriors swapping Poole for Chris Paul, none come close to the impact of Phoenix’s makeover.

Which offseason move is the riskiest?

Jovan Buha: The Suns’ decision to trade Deandre Ayton for Jusuf Nurkić, Grayson Allen, and Nasir Little in the Damian Lillard deal is a questionable move. While Allen and Little will contribute to the Suns’ rotation, replacing Ayton with Nurkić is a significant downgrade on both ends of the court. Nurkić didn’t perform well as a starter last season and is better suited for a backup role at this point. I have concerns about the Suns’ center rotation and their defensive ability. They may have sold low on Ayton and will be at a talent disadvantage against strong Western Conference opponents such as the Nuggets and the Lakers.

Law Murray: Acquiring Chris Paul, a 39-year-old point guard, carries the risk of his body failing him in the postseason. While Paul is undoubtedly an exceptional player, his age brings uncertainty. The trade involved giving up a young contributor in Poole. This move could be similar to the Lakers’ trade for Russell Westbrook, where the potential dysfunction outweighed the benefits.

Anthony Slater: Let’s consider a different perspective. The Clippers’ decision not to increase their offer for James Harden from the Sixers may backfire. If the waiting game doesn’t pay off and they miss out on Harden, it could impact their chances of winning a title. The Heat recently experienced a similar situation with Damian Lillard. If the Clippers find themselves in the same predicament, it may be the defining factor in their championship aspirations.

Who is the most likely player in the Pacific Division to have a breakout season?

Jovan Buha: It’s challenging to identify a clear candidate as all five teams are filled with veteran players. However, I believe Jonathan Kuminga has the potential for a breakout season. He showcased his skills during the preseason, ranking among the league leaders in scoring. Kuminga needs to earn Steve Kerr’s trust, but he has the talent to make an impact within the Warriors’ system. Additionally, there are two dark horse candidates: Terance Mann, whom the Clippers refuse to trade, and Max Christie, who impressed during summer league and seems ready for an expanded role with the Lakers.

Law Murray: I’m excited to see Keegan Murray’s progression in his sophomore season. In his rookie year, he set a record by making over 200 three-pointers, and I expect him to build on that success. Despite a crowded offense in Sacramento, which was the league’s most efficient last season, Murray can carve out a bigger role. He has the potential to contribute significantly in terms of free throws, rebounds, and defensive plays.

In conclusion, the Pacific Division’s offseason moves have reshaped the landscape and set the stage for an exciting 2023-24 regular season. With teams like the Suns, Clippers, Lakers, Warriors, and Kings making strategic decisions, the division promises exceptional competition and potential surprises.

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