The Toronto Raptors have been inconsistent early in the season, but one player who has consistently excelled on defense is Scottie Barnes. In tonight’s matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers, our NBA picks break down whether the Raptors can maintain their momentum and seek revenge after their previous loss to the Sixers.
Last night, the Raptors surprised everyone by winning against the Milwaukee Bucks and exceeding their team total. The question now is whether they can continue this performance as they face the 76ers in the second half of a back-to-back. The NBA odds currently have the Raptors as underdogs, but can they prove the doubters wrong?
In terms of predicting the Raptors’ offensive performance, it has been a challenge. They have had inconsistent scoring and were even ranked last in offensive rating heading into the game against the Bucks. However, for tonight’s matchup, let’s shift our focus to the defensive end of the floor.
Scottie Barnes has been a standout player on defense for the Raptors. He has shown a renewed energy and active hands, leading the team’s ninth-ranked defensive rating and second-ranked opponent effective field goal percentage. Barnes has also taken on the challenge of guarding the opposing team’s best players, including Giannis Antetokounmpo. He has recorded multiple blocks in four of Toronto’s five games, including the previous matchup against the Sixers.
Interestingly, the Sixers have struggled with shots being rejected this season, ranking 20th in opponent blocks per game. Considering Barnes’ performance and the Sixers’ vulnerability, there is good value in betting on Barnes to have 2+ blocks at +270 odds.
Another player who has stepped up defensively for the Raptors is Jakob Poeltl. He has achieved back-to-back double-doubles and is now averaging 9.0 rebounds per game. Despite Joel Embiid’s presence in the paint for the Sixers, the team only ranks middle-of-the-pack in rebounding. Poeltl should have opportunities to grab eight or more boards in tonight’s game.
The Raptors have also excelled in perimeter defense, ranking ninth in opponent 3-point attempts and fifth in opponent 3-point shooting percentage. Tonight, they should be able to limit Tobias Harris’ effectiveness from beyond the arc. In their previous meeting, Harris struggled with his 3-point shooting, going 1-4. Betting on Harris to make under 1.5 threes would be a wise choice.
As for the overall game, the Raptors opened as 8-point road underdogs, but the line has since shifted to Philadelphia -8.5. The Raptors’ offense has been inconsistent, and playing their second game in as many nights on the road may take a toll. Meanwhile, the Sixers have been off since Sunday and have been solid against the spread. However, due to the uncertainty, it’s best to avoid betting on the spread.
The total for the game originally opened at 218, but has since dropped to 215.5. Both teams have strong defenses and rank in the bottom third of the league in terms of pace. While the movement suggests a lower-scoring game, it might be too low to confidently bet on the Under.
In summary, betting on Scottie Barnes to have 2+ blocks, Jakob Poeltl to grab 8+ rebounds, and Tobias Harris to make under 1.5 threes in a same-game parlay offers good value at +1,000 odds. As for the spread and total, it’s best to exercise caution and refrain from making a bet.
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