Osasuna vs Granada Odds, Picks, Predictions

Osasuna vs Granada Odds

After a weekend off due to the international break, La Liga is back in action with a full slate, starting with Friday night’s opener between Osasuna and Granada.

The hosts enter the weekend in 12th with nine out of 10 points picked up away from home this campaign.

Meanwhile, the newly promoted side has struggled in the Spanish top flight, with just one win in nine games, placing them 19th.

Scoring has increased across the league so far, and I anticipate more goals to kick off matchday 10.

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The numbers at the El Sadar Stadium haven’t been favorable for Osasuna this season. However, this can be attributed to the tough set of home opponents they’ve faced.

In their four home games, Osasuna has played against Athletic Club, Barcelona, Sevilla, and Atlético Madrid. This match should be a significant step down in terms of opposition quality.

In fact, Osasuna has only scored one goal in the four home matches, and that was against the former league champion.

We’ve seen Osasuna perform well against weaker opposition on the road, and I expect that form to carry over to their home matches.

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If you had told Granada fans that the club would score 15 goals in the first nine fixtures, they would have considered it a solid start to their return to La Liga.

Granada also has one of the top scorers in the league, Bryan Zaragoza, who has netted five league goals, second only to Real Madrid’s Jude Bellingham.

The only issue is that the defense has conceded 23 goals, with only Almería giving up more so far this season.

The newcomers to the league can’t solely rely on outscoring teams to stay in the division, but their attacking numbers look promising at the moment.

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When analyzing this match, the aspect I want to focus on is Granada’s defense, despite Osasuna’s struggles in front of their home crowd.

Therefore, my best bet is for Osasuna to surpass their team total of 1.5 goals at odds of -120 or better.

At some point, Osasuna will find the back of the net at home. Currently, they have scored only one goal from 4.5 expected goals (xG) and five big chances, according to fbref.com.

Arrasate’s side is due some luck, especially considering they have scored multiple goals in 5 out of 6 away matches. The opponents in those fixtures are very similar to what Osasuna will face in this game.

On the other hand, Granada’s defense ranks at the bottom of La Liga in multiple categories, including xG allowed per 90 minutes (2.18), big chances surrendered per game (3.67), and opponents’ shots on target per match (5.89).

In addition, Granada has conceded multiple goals in 7 out of 9 league matches, making this the perfect opportunity for Osasuna to get their home form going.

Pick: Osasuna Team Total Over 1.5 (-120 or better)

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