NHL 2023-24 Stanley Cup playoff chances and projected standings

Welcome to our NHL projections and probabilities page where you will find each team’s projected point total, its probability of making the playoffs and its odds of advancing to each subsequent round, including winning the Stanley Cup.

The projections are based on 50,000 simulations of the remainder of the season, factoring in each team’s projected strength, current health, and strength of schedule, which includes opponent strength, venue, and rest. Each team’s projected strength is determined by the projected value of the players on its roster, considering their Offensive and Defensive Rating.

This page will be updated every morning. Click to expand any chart for a larger view.

All projections and probabilities are rounded to the nearest whole number.

Last updated: October 21, 2023, 12:00 A.M. EST

2023-24 NHL team projected standings

Correction: An error was discovered with projected ice-time for four players (Sean Couturier, Cam Atkinson, Bobby Brink, and Alexandre Texier) who did not play in the 2022-23 season. The error negatively impacted the team projections for Philadelphia and Columbus. The issue has been resolved as of October 20.

2023-24 NHL division chances

2023-24 NHL daily playoff chances

2023-24 NHL strength of schedule

Projections on Day 1 of the NHL season


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