2023 Xfinity 500 odds, picks: Projected NASCAR at Martinsville leaderboard, predictions from proven model

The 2023 NASCAR Playoffs continue with the penultimate race of the season on Sunday, with two spots in the final four still up for grabs. Taking place at Martinsville Speedway, the 2023 Xfinity 500 is the last race in the Round of 8 and is scheduled to begin at 2:00 p.m. ET. Despite his famous wall ride last year, Ross Chastain enters the 2023 Xfinity 500 as a 35-1 longshot after being eliminated from the postseason. The NASCAR at Martinsville odds favor Denny Hamlin at 3-1, followed by Kyle Larson at 13-2 and William Byron at 8-1.

Our NASCAR projection model, created by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, has simulated the race 10,000 times and produced a surprising leaderboard. This proprietary model takes various factors into account, including track history and recent results.

The model has been incredibly accurate in the 2023 season, correctly predicting Martin Truex Jr.’s Clash win (20-1), his win in New Hampshire (11-2), Joey Logano’s Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch’s victory in Fontana (10-1), Denny Hamlin’s triumph in Kansas (6-1), and Kyle Larson’s wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). It also correctly predicted the winners in two of the last four weeks, with Ryan Blaney (12-1) at Talladega and Larson (9-2) in Las Vegas. The model also accurately predicted five of Larson’s wins during his historic 2021 season. Overall, since 2021, the model has correctly predicted an impressive 15 winners, resulting in significant payouts for those who followed its NASCAR picks.

Now, the model has focused on the 2023 Xfinity 500 and released its projections.

Martinsville Speedway is an iconic venue on the NASCAR schedule, and The Paperclip has been the stage for the second-to-last race for the past three years. Chastain’s memorable wall ride propelled him past several cars, including Hamlin, securing a spot in the championship race. The NASCAR Cup Series made its inaugural trip to Martinsville in 1949, and Sunday’s race will mark the 150th event held at the 0.526-mile oval.

Regarding the 2023 Xfinity 500, the model has a high opinion of Kyle Busch, even though he is considered an 18-1 longshot according to the latest NASCAR at Martinsville odds. He presents an opportunity for a significant payout. However, the model delivers a shocking prediction: Byron, one of the favorites in Vegas at 8-1, is projected to struggle and fail to make the top five. The 2023 Xfinity 500 starting lineup offers better values.

The model also identifies two other drivers with NASCAR at Martinsville odds of 18-1 or higher who are primed to contend for the checkered flag. Backing these drivers could result in substantial winnings. It is crucial to discover their identities before finalizing any NASCAR picks.

Join SportsLine now to see the full projected NASCAR at Martinsville leaderboard and find out the winner of the 2023 Xfinity 500, based on the model’s track record of accurately predicting nine race winners in 2023!